Monday, February 27, 2006 

History of Options

Ancient Origins: Although it isn't known exactly when the first option contract traded, it is known that the Romans and Phoenicians used similar contracts in shipping. There is also evidence that Thales, a mathematician and philosopher in ancient Greece used options to secure a low price for olive presses in advance of the harvest. Thales had reason to believe the olive harvest would be particularly strong. During the off-season when demand for olive presses was almost non-existent, he acquired rights-at a very low cost-to use the presses the following spring. Later, when the olive harvest was in full-swing, Thales exercised his option and proceeded to rent the equipment to others at a much higher price.
In Holland, trading in tulip options blossomed during the early 1600s. At first, tulip dealers used call options to make sure they could secure a reasonable price to meet the demand. At the same time, tulip growers used put options to ensure an adequate selling price. However, it wasn't long before speculators joined the mix and traded the options for profit. Unfortunately, when the market crashed, many speculators failed to honor their agreements. The consequences for the economy were devastating. Not surprisingly, the situation in this unregulated market seriously tainted the view most people had of options. After a similar episode in London one hundred years later, options were even declared illegal.

Early Options in America: options appeared on the scene around the same time as stocks. In the early 19th Century, call and put contracts — known as "privileges" — were not traded on an exchange. Because the terms differed for each contract, there wasn't much in the way of a secondary market. Instead, it was up to the buyers and sellers to find each other. This was typically accomplished when firms offered specific calls and puts in newspaper ads.
Not unlike what happened in Holland and England, options came under heavy scrutiny after the Great Depression. Although the Investment Act of 1934 legitimized options, it also put trading under the watchful eye of the newly formed Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
For the next several decades, growth in option trading remained slow. By 1968, annual volume still didn't exceed 300,000 contracts.
For the most part, early over-the-counter options failed to attract a following because they were cumbersome and illiquid. In the absence of an exchange, all trades were done by phone. To make matters worse, investors had no way of knowing what the real market for a given contract was. Instead, the put-call dealer functioned only to match the buyer and seller. Operating without a fixed commission, the dealer simply kept the spread between the price paid and the price sold. There was no limit to the size of this spread. Worse yet, all option contracts had to be exercised in person. If the holder of the option somehow missed the 3:15 pm deadline, the option would expire worthless regardless of its intrinsic value.

Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT): In the late 1960s, as exchange volume for commodities began to shrink, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) explored opportunities for diversification into the options market. Joseph W. Sullivan, Vice President of Planning for the CBOT, studied the over-the-counter option market and concluded that two key ingredients for success were missing. First, Sullivan believed that existing options had too many variables. To correct this, he proposed standardizing the strike price, expiration, size, and other relevant contract terms. Second, Sullivan recommended the creation of an intermediary to issue contracts and guarantee settlement and performance. This intermediary is now known as the Options Clearing Corporation.
To replace the put-call dealers, who served only as intermediaries, the CBOT created a system in which market makers were required to provide two-sided markets. At the same time, the presence of multiple market makers made for a competitive atmosphere in which buyers and sellers alike could be assured of getting the best possible price.

Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE): After four years of study and planning, the Chicago Board of Trade established the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and began trading listed call options on 16 stocks on April 26, 1973. The CBOE's first home was actually a smoker's lounge at the Chicago Board of Trade. After achieving first-day volume of 911 contracts, the average daily volume skyrocketed to over 20,000 the following year. Along the way, the new exchange achieved several important milestones.
As the number of underlying stocks with listed options doubled to 32, exchange membership doubled from 284 to 567. About the same time, new laws opened the door for banks and insurance companies to include options in their portfolios. For these reasons, option volume continued to grow. By the end of 1974, average daily volume exceeded 200,000 contracts.
The newfound interest in options also caught the attention of the nation's newspapers, which voluntarily began carrying listed option prices. That's quite an accomplishment considering that the CBOE initially had to purchase news space in The Wall Street Journal in order to publish quotes.

Other Exchanges Get Into the Game: Starting in 1975, a number of other exchanges began trading listed options. This group included the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), the Pacific Stock Exchange (PSE), and what is now known as the Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHE). The most recent player to enter the game is the International Stock Exchange (ISE). Although the ISE only trades options on a limited number of stocks, the list is literally growing every day. Today, options on all sorts of financial instruments are also traded at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the CBOT, and other exchanges.

Sunday, February 26, 2006 

Financial turn around of Indian Railways: Budget Speech

The speech of Railway minister on Financial turn around of Indian Railways are as follows:

1. Sir, I take pride in informing this House that in the first nine months of the year 2005-06, the Railways’ output has been record breaking. The growth in freight loading is 10% and in freight revenues it is over 18%. Based on the trends up to now, the freight loading target is being increased from 635 mt to 668 mt and the goods revenues target from Rs. 33,480 cr to Rs. 36,490 cr. Thus, Railways would achieve incremental freight loading of 111 mt in two years itself, which will be 133% higher as compared to the incremental loading of 83 mt of entire Ninth Five Year Plan period. Tenth Plan targets of 624 mt loading and 396 billion tonne kilometers have been surpassed one year in advance. I believe that we would surpass the Tenth Five Year Plan’s incremental target of 63 billion tkm for freight business by over 200%.

2. According to Revised Estimates, Passenger Earnings, Other Coaching earnings and Sundry Other earnings are likely to register growths of 7%, 19% and 56%, respectively. Gross Traffic Revenues are expected to be Rs. 54,600 cr, which are higher as compared to the previous year and Budget Estimates of the current year by 16 % and 7%, respectively.

3. Ordinary Working Expenses are likely to increase by Rs. 1,200 cr, mainly due to post-budgetary increase in fuel prices. Lease charges paid for rolling stock taken on financial lease have till now been shown as operating expenditure, without segregating interest and principal repayment component. The changes in the accounting system have effected a reduction of Rs. 1,616 cr. in the operating expenses. Overall, Revised Estimate of Ordinary Working Expenses has been kept at Rs. 35,184 cr, which is Rs. 416 cr lesser as compared to the Budget Estimates. As a result of these changes in the accounting system, an improvement of around 3% is also reflected in the operating ratio.

4. According to the Revised Estimates of the current year, Indian Railways’ internal resources before dividend, would reach a historic level of Rs. 12,966 cr. Even after setting aside the effect of the accounting changes mentioned earlier, this amount would be Rs. 11,350 cr. Fund balances would be at a record level of Rs. 11,280 cr and the operating ratio is expected to improve to 83.7%.

Friday, February 24, 2006 

Journey of Sensex

Bombay Stock Exchange, the oldest stock exchange in Asia, was established in 1875 as the Native Share and Stock Brokers Association at Dalal Street in Mumbai. A lot has changed since then when 318 persons became members upon paying Re 1. In 1956, the BSE obtained permanent recognition from the Government of India -- the first stock exchange to do so -- under the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956.
The Sensex, first compiled in 1986, is a 'Market Capitalisation-Weighted' Index of 30 component stocks representing a sample of large and financially sound companies. The BSE-Sensex is the benchmark index of the Indian capital markets.The BSE Sensex comprises these 30 stocks: ACC, Bajaj Auto, Bharti Tele, BHEL, Cipla, Dr Reddy's, Gujarat Ambuja, Grasim, HDFC, HDFC Bank, Hero Honda, Hindalco, HLL, ICICI Bank, Infosys, ITC, L&T, Maruti, NTPC, ONGC, Ranbaxy, Reliance, Reliance Energy, Satyam, SBI, Tata Motors, Tata Power, TCS, Tata Motors and Wipro.
The Sensex on Monday Feb 6, scaled a new high as it breached the historic 10,000 mark during mid-session. Here's a timeline on the rise of the Sensex through Indian stock market history.
The 1000-mark: On July 25 1990, the Sensex touched the magical four-digit figure for the first time and closed at 1,001 in the wake of a good monsoon and excellent corporate results.
The 2000-mark:On January 15, 1992, the Sensex crossed the 2,000-mark and closed at 2,020 followed by the liberal economic policy initiatives undertaken by the then finance minister and current Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh.
The 3000-mark: On February 29, 1992, the Sensex surged past the 3000 mark in the wake of the market-friendly Budget announced by the then Finance Minister, Dr Manmohan Singh.
The 4000-mark: On March 30, 1992, the Sensex crossed the 4,000-mark and closed at 4,091 on the expectations of a liberal export-import policy. It was then that the Harshad Mehta scam hit the markets and Sensex witnessed unabated selling.
The 5000-mark: On October 8, 1999, the Sensex crossed the 5,000-mark as the BJP-led coalition won the majority in the 13th Lok Sabha election.

The 6000-mark: On February 11, 2000, the infotech boom helped the Sensex to cross the 6,000-mark and hit and all time high of 6,006.

The 7000-mark: On June 20, 2005, the news of the settlement between the Ambani brothers boosted investor sentiments and the scrips of RIL, Reliance Energy, Reliance Capital and IPCL made huge gains. This helped the Sensex crossed 7,000 points for the first time.

The 8000-mark: On 8th September 2005, the Bombay Stock Exchange's benchmark 30-share index -- the Sensex -- crossed the 8000 level following brisk buying by foreign and domestic funds in early trading.

The 9000-mark: The Sensex on November 28, 2005 crossed the magical figure of 9000 to touch 9000.32 points during mid-session at the Bombay Stock Exchange on the back of frantic buying spree by foreign institutional investors and well supported by local operators as well as retail investors.

The 10,000-mark: The Sensex on Feb 6, 2006 crossed the magical figure of 10,000 and touched a life-time peak of 10,003 points during mid-session at the Bombay Stock Exchange on the back of frantic buying spree by foreign institutional investors and well supported by local operators as well as retail investors.
Courtesy: Rediff

Wednesday, February 22, 2006 

Sensex Touches 10,000

MUMBAI, FEB 6: The moment of joy finally arrived, albeit suddenly, at the stock markets when the benchmark 30-share Sensex of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) recorded its biggest gain in the last six months to breach the magical 10,000 mark for a brief period on Monday. History was created at the fag end of the session at around 3:12 pm when the Sensex crossed the 10,000 level and reached 10, 002.83, the day's high, before finishing with a gain of 237.84 points, up 2.44% to close at 9,980.42. The previous biggest gain was recorded on September 26 when the Sensex sprinted 256.32 points. Not to be outdone, the broader 50-share S&P CNX Nifty of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) also moved in tandem and gained 59.85 points or 2.04% to end the session at 3,000.45.

Narayan S A, managing director, Kotak Securities said, "This is a milestone for the Indian capital markets. It reflects the underlying strength of the economy and the leap of faith that global and local investors have taken on India. Indian equities have delivered exceptional returns for the last 2-3 years.

However at these levels, investors need to tone down expectations. While the rally would continue to be broad based and perhaps accompanied by higher volatility, stock selection would continue to be of prime importance and investors need to focus on the margin of safety".

Dealers said the market was caught unawares, since the Sensex was hovering around 9,980 levels for quite some time in the post-lunch session and it was widely believed that the 10,000 level would not be achieved on Monday. However, the bulls resort

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